Preseason Rankings
La Salle
Atlantic 10
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#157
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.8#122
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#189
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#147
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 5.1% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 3.5% 0.8%
Average Seed 11.3 10.7 11.6
.500 or above 24.3% 48.4% 20.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.5% 24.1% 12.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 19.8% 10.8% 21.4%
First Four0.5% 1.6% 0.3%
First Round1.8% 4.4% 1.3%
Second Round0.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 9
Quad 34 - 45 - 13
Quad 44 - 19 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 73   @ St. John's L 72-83 15%    
  Nov 27, 2020 195   St. Peter's W 70-68 59%    
  Dec 02, 2020 326   @ Howard W 82-73 79%    
  Dec 06, 2020 145   @ Temple L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 16, 2020 184   @ Towson L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 22, 2020 39   @ Maryland L 64-78 11%    
  Dec 30, 2020 47   @ Dayton L 66-79 13%    
  Jan 02, 2021 201   Fordham W 67-61 70%    
  Jan 06, 2021 52   Saint Louis L 67-74 28%    
  Jan 13, 2021 123   @ George Mason L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 18, 2021 174   Saint Joseph's W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 23, 2021 53   @ Richmond L 68-81 14%    
  Jan 27, 2021 93   Rhode Island L 74-77 42%    
  Feb 03, 2021 81   Davidson L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 06, 2021 174   @ Saint Joseph's L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 13, 2021 198   George Washington W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 16, 2021 52   @ Saint Louis L 64-77 15%    
  Feb 20, 2021 53   Richmond L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 24, 2021 85   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 27, 2021 90   Duquesne L 71-74 40%    
  Mar 03, 2021 201   @ Fordham L 64-65 49%    
Projected Record 8 - 13 6 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.0 0.1 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.8 1.4 0.1 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.7 3.0 0.2 0.0 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.4 3.7 0.5 0.0 13.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.6 4.5 0.9 0.0 13.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.2 4.2 1.1 0.0 13.4 13th
14th 1.0 3.1 4.3 2.5 0.7 0.0 11.7 14th
Total 1.0 3.6 7.0 10.4 13.2 15.1 13.7 12.1 9.2 6.9 4.0 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 70.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 76.1% 7.5% 68.7% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74.2%
13-5 0.3% 59.2% 15.4% 43.8% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 51.7%
12-6 1.1% 44.6% 8.3% 36.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 39.6%
11-7 2.2% 21.5% 9.2% 12.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 13.6%
10-8 4.0% 10.4% 4.2% 6.2% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6 6.5%
9-9 6.9% 2.8% 1.8% 1.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.7 1.1%
8-10 9.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.0%
7-11 12.1% 0.5% 0.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
6-12 13.7% 0.5% 0.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7
5-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 15.1
4-14 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-15 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.4
2-16 7.0% 7.0
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 2.0% 0.9% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.0 1.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%